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The UK government's budget announcement will need to show fiscal discipline to satisfy gilt investors, and while our baseline sees enough credibility to nudge the risk premium in gilt yields lower, we are well aware of significant upside risks too.
A simple-minded interpretation of the Taylor rule suggests a decrease in the policy rate is not warranted, using the output gap, and perhaps not warranted using the unemployment gap.
Nvidia Corp. came in with yet another earnings beat, including in heavily scrutinized data center sales and gross margin. The beat sent shockwaves through cold November markets
Buyers are back in control again, but we’re testing major resistance overhead. This is where my Pop & Pullback Strategy comes into play, and it’s my roadmap before the Holiday!
Excluding food and energy, the month-over-month increase was only 0.1 Percent. Given that services are about two-thirds of the PPI, the Fed is happy with falling services and rising goods vs the other way around.
Market index trading began flat this morning, but was able to cruise to a higher altitude on news consistent with easing the Fed funds rate going forward.
Earnings season is slowly winding down, and throughout the period so far, Wayfair and American Express have been two big winners, with each seeing positive post-earnings reactions alongside announcing guidance upgrades.
In this video, Ira Epstein discusses recent economic data and its implications for potential interest rate cuts, noting the market's reaction to speculation that Kevin Hassett might be the next Federal Reserve chair.
Positive signals from both the US and Ukraine regarding a Russia-Ukraine peace deal continue to put pressure on energy markets. However, there’s little clarity on where Russia stands on the current plan
Gold attracts fresh buyers following the previous day's two-way price move and climbs back closer to the $4,150 level during the Asian session on Wednesday.
For those interested in alternative business cycle indicators, here are latest GDO, coincident index, vehicle miles traveled, and freight services, among others.
Stocks were surprisingly higher, even though it was a Treasury settlement day, and we saw overnight funding rates rise, notable usage of the Standing Repo Facility increased, and a drop in Bitcoin.
Contingent on the SPX holding above last Friday’s low at 6521, with a serious warning for the Bulls below 6630 (Monday’s low), we can allow for the index to rally to 7120+.
Wth the heightened focus on A.I. and the related stocks and the push into data center capacity growth and more, creating some diversification in one's investment portfolio would be reasonable.
As treasuries face mounting pressure to raise taxes on both sides of the Atlantic, it seems almost inevitable that industry claims over rising customer acquisition costs will fall on deaf ears.
Occidental Petroleum is likely to raise its dividend next quarter. That could push it to at least $1.00 per share, giving OXY a prospective yield of 2.42%.
The S&P SmallCap 600 has underperformed the Russell 2000 by 9% YTD, putting it on track to record its worst year of relative performance since its launch in October 1994.
Nvidia stock fell sharply on Tuesday, hitting its lowest level in nearly three months, but CNBC’s Jim Cramer said the pullback represents a buying opportunity rather than a warning sign.
With all the attention focused on the likes of Nvidia, I think Alphabet deserves a round of applause. It has added a TRILLION dollars in shareholder value in a matter of weeks, pushing to lifetime highs seemingly every day.
Best Buy surged after posting Q3 results of $1.40 EPS and $9.67 billion in revenue, topping estimates and raising its full-year outlook on 2.7% comp sales growth.
UK stocks experienced gains amidst volatile trading on Tuesday as investors eagerly awaited the upcoming budget announcement, expected to introduce significant tax measures.
The November FX Report has been delayed but should be released soon. We expect an emphasis on the changing approach towards a tighter scrutiny on US partners’ FX practices, but we don’t think we’ll see any FX manipulator designation by the Treasury
The Japanese Yen(JPY) trades on the front foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with USD/JPY pressured by intervention chatter in Tokyo and a weaker Greenback following soft US economic data.
Netflix is generating market interest following a stock split and stricter password-sharing policies, with analysts monitoring earnings and subscriber trends amidst mixed signals.
The bulls certainly fought back with vengeance the last two days after Thursday’s ugly reversal rout. That’s not surprising given the pullback got to the 5% mark during a time of year when larger declines are rare, save 2000, 2007 and 2018.
Alphabet continues to push higher in a bullish impulse, extending strongly within an ongoing five-wave upward cycle according to the Elliott Wave model.
With major federal data still delayed, the latest PPI shows goods inflation rising while services inflation cools, hinting at softer momentum in the service-driven economy.
Investor sentiment on the outlook for another rate cut has been volatile lately, but comments from Federal Reserve officials in recent days have turned the tide back in favor of the doves.
Analog Devices reported Q4 revenue of $3.08 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.26, both above expectations, and the company issued an optimistic outlook for fiscal 2026.
President Trump’s advisers are discussing a proposal to head off sharp increases in health-insurance costs for millions of Americans next year, the explosive issue at the heart of the recent government shutdown.
